Observer determination of the make,model, and year of questioned vehicles

Often, criminal acts involving a vehicle are caught on digital video surveillance systems. While potentially useful for an investigation, the recording conditions are typically less than optimal for the extraction of key information for the identification of the perpetrator, such as a license plate. Providing the make, model and year of a questioned vehicle is a common request for examiners, to narrow the field of potential suspect vehicles. This study seeks to compare the performance of a nonpeer-reviewed make, model, and year determination between two separate groups, specifically, trained forensic image examiners and nontrained individuals. Results show that even with varied image capture conditions and quality, the trained forensic image examiners more correctly and completely identified the test group of questioned vehicles make, model, and year.     

社区老年高血压病患者的中医体质类型及相关危险因素分析

目的 探讨社区老年高血压病患者中医体质类型分布和相关危险因素，为高血压病的防治提供参考。方法 根据《中国高血压防治指南（2010）》，将5 582例社区老年志愿者分为高血压病组及非高血压病组。采用中医体质调查问卷，对其进行中医体质及危险因素分析。结果 5 582例老年人中，高血压病患者占55.2%，非高血压病者占44.8%；高血压病组平和质562例（18.2%），偏颇体质2 521例（81.8%），非高血压病组平和质467例（18.7%），其余共2 032例（81.3%）。进一步分析发现，高血压病组偏颇体质主要是痰湿质，非高血压病组偏颇体质主要是气虚质，两组之间体质分布差异具有统计学意义（P＜0.05）。Logistics回归分析结果显示：在高血压病与中医体质类型关系的模型中，痰湿质为独立危险因素；在高血压病与中医体质类型及相关因素关系的模型中，谷氨酸氨基转移酶（alanine transaminase, ALT）、痰湿质、同型半胱氨酸（homocysteine，Hcy）、血脂异常、年龄及血糖为危险因素。结论 本社区老年高血压病患者体质分布以偏颇体质多见，痰湿质、气虚质、阳虚质是较为常见的体质类型；ALT、痰湿质、Hcy、血脂异常、年龄及血糖是高血压病的危险因素。在社区慢性病管理中，根据不同中医体质类型制定相应的防治干预方案，积极调整偏颇体质，倡导健康的生活方式，加强对高血压病高危人群的干预，对社区老年高血压病的防治具有指导意义。     

有关官员财产申报观点的评析

官员的个人财产隐私权应让位于带有公共利益性质的公众知情权已经是学界达成的共识。但是，官员财产申报制度程序上的粗漏、执行力度的薄弱、司法追究的缺乏使得我国的该项制度基本上流于形式。基于对学界出现的“条件不足”、“时机成熟”、“自上而下”、“自下而上”等几种关于官员财产申报制度的观点进行客观分析可知，其建设和推广不可能一蹴而就，但也绝不能以配套制度尚未完善为由而停滞不前，不是条件不足，也不是时机不成熟，利害关系才是关键。因此，应以公共利益为先，本着崇高的公共服务精神，尽快将官员财产申报制推广开来，落到实处。     

元代以来地方行政价值实现的审视--结合“公共管理模型”与“地方行政史例”

基于Christopher Hood公共管理三重价值的视角，选取元以降（元、明、清、民国）四个历史单元为案例，审视和比较其地方行政的演化轨迹、横纵架构和运行成效。尝试一个“西方当代公共管理理论”和“中国古代地方行政实践”相结合的独特研究路径，结合“管理模型”和“史料分析”，构建一个地方行政价值实现的框架模型（LAVAM），探究地方行政的纵向组织层级、横向权力统分与公共管理三重价值——公正、效率、稳健之间的联系与规律，以现代公共管理理论和研究方法剖析元以降地方行政历史演化的客观规律和内在逻辑，启迪地方行政改革与央地关系探索“，以今审古”“、以古鉴今”。     

Town twinning and political support

Does town twinning foster citizens’ political support of the European Union? This study investigates the relation, which is maintained in politics and academics but still calls for empirical evidence. We distinguish between two levels of analysis, namely individual and context level, and differentiate in accordance with David Easton’s modes of political support specific from diffuse support. The corresponding hypotheses are tested with a unique dataset, which embraces survey findings of more than 12,000 respondents from 28 randomly selected municipalities in Germany. The main conclusions that emerge from the analysis are: First, town twinning does promote political support of the European Union on the individual level. Second, there are positive effects on specific and diffuse support. Thirdly, there is no relationship between local activity in twinning affairs and political support.     

How people organise cultural attitudes: cultural belief systems and the populist radical right

Political scientists generally agree that all individuals structure their cultural attitudes in the same unidimensional fashion. However, various populist radical right parties remarkably combine moral progressiveness with conservatism regarding immigration-related issues. This suggests that the structuring of cultural attitudes among the electorate may also be more complex than typically assumed. Applying Correlational Class Analysis to representative survey data, the study uncovers three cultural belief systems. For individuals adhering to an integrated one, all cultural attitudes are interdependent, as typically assumed. However, two alternative belief systems are also uncovered: intermediate and partitioned. In the latter, positions on one cultural attitude (e.g. ethnocentrism) are barely related to positions on others (e.g. rejecting Islam or opposing homosexuality). The existence of multiple cultural belief systems challenges the widely held assumption that all people organise their cultural attitudes similarly. Both political party agendas and individuals’ education level and religion appear key to understanding variation in belief systems.     

未成年人犯罪行为的心理分析——以“四少年冷漠杀人案”为例

未成年人违法犯罪的某些行为是由未成年人的心理特点决定的。处于这一阶段的未成年人由于思维不成熟、自我意识高涨、反抗心理强烈,再加上社会化不完整,常常导致道德发展滞后、人格存在缺陷,从而诱发了未成年人的违法犯罪。因此,家庭教育和学校教育应相互配合、相互拟补,共同做好未成年人违法犯罪的预防工作。     

广东省企业参与中国—东盟自由贸易区经贸合作的战略考量

中国—东盟自由贸易区如期建成近两年,在三大协议影响下的货物贸易、服务贸易以及投资等经贸合作活动呈现出何种特征,值得我们关注和总结,以期为进一步的合作提出阶段性建议。本文主要针对广东与东盟国家优势产业间的竞争性进行了定量研究,并为广东如何进一步参与中国—东盟自由贸易区的经贸合作提出了建议。     

Indian spies inside Pakistan: South Asian human intelligence across borders

This article examines India’s historical efforts to spy inside Pakistan from the mid-1960s to the early 1970s. It draws from memoirs of notable Indian spies who were jailed for espionage in Pakistan and spy ‘fiction’ written by former Indian intelligence and military officers who allege their writing is based on actual cases. The article highlights commonalities among Indian spies using the words of Indian officers to better understand human intelligence efforts inside Pakistan. It finds that Indian spies in these books have initially been Hindus or from multi-religious families, from the Indian-Pakistan border and have been poorly treated by the Indian government and its intelligence services.     

地区犯罪规模影响因素的混沌分析

区域社会和经济存在与发展的因素对犯罪规模有着不同程度的影响。文章基于这一事实将警务效率、人均GDP、受教育状况、人口密度和基尼系数作为地区犯罪规模的评价因素，采用复回归方法建立了地区犯罪率模型，通过模糊动态聚类分析得到了影响犯罪规模各因素的混沌特征，从这种混沌优化的学习过程中确定了各个影响因素的权重，将它作为地区犯罪规模影响因素的程度。结果表明，警务效率对犯罪率的影响最大，其次是人口密度和受教育程度的影响．